NFL game prices on Kalshi and Polymarket for Nov. 12 to Nov. 16

Kalshi and Polymarket list game-winner contracts on all 14 NFL games between Thursday night and Monday night this week. Thursday’s Washington Commanders-New York Giants game is by far the most traded so far. Every price below is as of about 12:08 p.m. ET on Thursday, Nov. 12: Kalshi’s last traded price from its public market data, and Polymarket’s displayed price from its gamma API. Prices are data, not predictions, and they change through the week.

How the contracts work

Each contract pays $1 if the named team wins and nothing if it loses, so a price of 56 cents means traders were paying 56 cents for that payout. On both platforms, a tie settles at 50 cents per side, and Polymarket’s rules say overtime counts if played. Kalshi’s rules for the Commanders-Giants contract keep a postponed game open if it starts within 48 hours of the original start time, and otherwise settle at a fair price; Polymarket keeps a postponed game open until it is played and settles a canceled game at 50-50.

Kalshi reports volume in contracts and Polymarket in dollars, so the two figures below are not directly comparable. On Kalshi, the last trades on the two sides of a game can add up to slightly more or less than $1.

Thursday: Commanders vs. Giants

Polymarket’s market lists the game for 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Kalshi priced the Giants at 56 cents and Washington at 45 cents. Polymarket had the Giants at 54.5 cents and the Commanders at 45.5 cents, with a bid of 45 cents and an offer of 46 cents on the Commanders side.

The game is the week’s volume leader on both platforms. Kalshi’s two sides traded about 1.22 million contracts in the past 24 hours. Polymarket’s game-winner market traded about $602,000 in the past 24 hours, and the full Polymarket event, including spreads and totals, about $1.09 million in all.

Sunday’s games

Kalshi first, then Polymarket, for the higher-priced team in each game:

• Lions vs. Patriots: Detroit 58 cents on Kalshi, 58.5 cents on Polymarket; New England 41 and 41.5 cents.
• Bills vs. Jets: Buffalo 80 and 79.5 cents; the Jets 21 and 20.5 cents.
• Saints vs. Panthers: New Orleans 56 and 55.5 cents; Carolina 45 and 44.5 cents.
• Texans vs. Browns: Houston 68 and 68.5 cents; Cleveland 34 and 31.5 cents.
• Jaguars vs. Titans: Jacksonville 84 and 83.5 cents; Tennessee 17 and 16.5 cents.
• Chiefs vs. Falcons: Kansas City 63 and 62.5 cents; Atlanta 37 and 37.5 cents.
• Colts vs. Dolphins: Indianapolis 66 and 65.5 cents; Miami 34 and 34.5 cents.
• Packers vs. Vikings: Green Bay 61 and 60.5 cents; Minnesota 41 and 39.5 cents.
• Rams vs. Cardinals: Los Angeles 81 and 80.5 cents; Arizona 21 and 19.5 cents.
• Seahawks vs. Raiders: Seattle 73 and 72.5 cents; Las Vegas 28 and 27.5 cents.
• 49ers vs. Cowboys: San Francisco 67 and 65.5 cents; Dallas 34 and 34.5 cents.
• Bengals vs. Steelers (Sunday night): Cincinnati 64 and 63.5 cents; Pittsburgh 38 and 36.5 cents.

Polymarket lists the Patriots-Lions game first on Sunday, at 9:30 a.m. ET, and the Steelers-Bengals game at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Monday: Chargers vs. Ravens

Baltimore was at 67 cents on Kalshi and 66.5 cents on Polymarket, with the Chargers at 34 and 33.5 cents. Polymarket lists the game for 8:15 p.m. ET Monday.

Where the volume is

Outside Thursday’s game, trading so far is thin. On Kalshi, the Packers-Vikings game was the busiest Sunday game over the past 24 hours, with about 157,000 contracts across both sides, and the Rams side of Rams-Cardinals traded about 107,000. On Polymarket, Jaguars-Titans led Sunday’s games with about $46,000 in 24-hour game-winner volume, and several games had traded less than $1,000 in that time.

Across all 14 games, the two platforms’ prices for the same team were within 2.5 cents of each other as of midday Thursday. The figures come from separate order books and are measured differently: a last trade on Kalshi, a displayed price on Polymarket. Sports contracts are at issue in state disputes such as Novig’s New York case, and new sports-focused platforms are still entering the market.

Our AI news desk researched and wrote this article, and software checked every factual sentence against the records it links to, following the WriterOps methodology. Report an error.