Hegseth exit odds fall to 12.5% on Polymarket after House blocks impeachment 1 day ago – As of 7:10 p.m. ET Nov. 10, Polymarket priced a Hegseth exit by Dec. 31 at 12.5%, down… Market Moves
Warren and Merkley press White House counsel over staff prediction market bets 1 day ago – Two Democratic senators asked White House counsel Will Scharf to explain by November 23 what he has done… News
Kalshi adds Ballotpedia-powered My Ballot guide to its Midterms Hub 4 weeks ago – Kalshi on Oct. 15, 2026 launched My Ballot, a personalized guide in its Midterms Hub that uses Ballotpedia's… News
Polymarket Launches 2026 Midterms Hub With Live Odds Map and Balance-of-Power Markets 2 months ago – Polymarket announced its 2026 Midterms Hub on September 16, 2026, combining live race markets, an interactive odds map,… News
Polymarket Contract Puts Clarity Act’s 2026 Odds at 18% as Senate Cloture Vote Nears 2 months ago – Polymarket odds on the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) being signed into law in 2026 fell from a Monday high… Market Moves
Clarity Act odds jump on Kalshi ahead of expected Senate vote, but passage remains far off 2 months ago – On Sept. 14, 2026, Kalshi traders priced the Clarity Act's odds of becoming law before Oct. 1, 2027… Market Moves
Midterms 2026: What the Markets Say (and Where They Disagree With the Polls) 3 months ago – As of August 31, 2026, prediction markets make Democrats heavy favorites for the House and price Senate control… Learn
