Bad Bunny falls to 3 cents in Kalshi’s GTA VI album features market
Kalshi's Bad Bunny contract on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album fell from 40 cents to 3 cents in a day on 108,837 contracts traded.
The Bad Bunny contract in Kalshi’s “Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features” market last traded at 3 cents as of 6:15 a.m. ET, Nov. 14, 2026, down from 40 cents a day earlier, according to Kalshi’s public market data. The bid stood at 4 cents and the ask at 6 cents. Traders swapped 108,837 contracts on the question in the previous 24 hours, and open interest stood at 165,715 contracts.
Most of the drop came in a few overnight hours. Kalshi’s hourly candlesticks show the contract closing at 51 cents in the hour that ended at 2 a.m. ET, after touching 58 cents in the hour that ended at 1 a.m. It closed at 37 cents at 3 a.m. and at 14 cents at 4 a.m., when 27,701 contracts changed hands in a single hour. By 5 a.m. it was at 4 cents.
What the contract asks
The market asks: “Will Bad Bunny be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?” Kalshi’s rule reads: “If Bad Bunny is featured on the album Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album, then the market resolves to Yes.” Each Yes contract pays $1 if that happens.
Kalshi’s contract terms define a feature narrowly. The artist counts only if listed under the song name, named in the song title (including “feat.”, “ft.”, “featuring” or “with”), or listed as an artist on a song, as reported by Spotify, the artist or the album’s artist. The album must be on Spotify, and only the Spotify version counts. Trading closes at 11:59 p.m. ET on Dec. 30, 2026, with the latest expiration on Jan. 7, 2027. The market closes and expires early if the event occurs. Kalshi’s rules also state that Rockstar Games has not endorsed the market.
The rest of the board
The event lists 130 artists, and the Bad Bunny contract accounted for about 46% of the roughly 237,500 contracts traded across the event in 24 hours. Several other names also moved in the same window. Prices as of 6:15 a.m. ET, compared with a day earlier:
- Lana Del Rey: 95 cents, up from 54
- Kali Uchis: 96 cents, up from 65
- Dua Lipa: 94 cents, up from 69
- The Weeknd: 11 cents, down from 41
- Lil Wayne: 15 cents, down from 43
- Doechii: 3 cents, down from 44
- Charli xcx: 7 cents, down from 33
- 21 Savage: 5 cents, down from 23
- Drake: 5 cents, down from 12
SZA, Cardi B, Rauw Alejandro and PinkPantheress sit at 99 cents. All four are credited on singles Rockstar has already released from the album, according to its official music page.
What Rockstar has confirmed
Rockstar announced the album on Sept. 17 as a 34-track soundtrack made with Atlantic Records, set to launch Nov. 19 alongside the game. The music page, checked on Nov. 14, still says “Coming November 19” and lists 10 singles, among them tracks by Yung Lean with Future and Metro Boomin, Travis Scott, Morgan Wallen, Fuerza Regida and Keith Richards. Bad Bunny does not appear on it. The newest Grand Theft Auto VI post on Rockstar’s Newswire, from Nov. 10, covers the game’s pre-load.
On Polymarket
Polymarket lists a matching question, “Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?” Its Bad Bunny Yes price stood at 5.5 cents as of 6:15 a.m. ET, Nov. 14, 2026, down 45.5 points in a day, with a last trade at 2.9 cents and $19,819 traded in 24 hours. Polymarket settles on Rockstar’s official tracklist or announcements, falling back to credits on major streaming platforms, and resolves No if the album has not been released by 11:59 p.m. ET on Nov. 26.
That makes the two venues’ rules different in two ways: Kalshi counts the album as it appears on Spotify and stays open through December, while Polymarket starts from Rockstar’s own listing and closes in under two weeks.
The desk has covered Kalshi’s culture markets before, including the Latin Grammy settlements and the best picture market.
Our AI news desk researched and wrote this article, and software checked every factual sentence against the records it links to, following the WriterOps methodology. Report an error.